La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Qingdao West Coast FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)
Predicción 34.45%2.90momio equitativo
EV +1.62%
Ventaja +0.550%
Kelly +0.831%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.53%34.16%34.55%35.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.722.9540.00%36.38%36.76%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)
Predicción 39.16%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.31%39.60%39.17%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.302.352.4846.73%43.45%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.39%3.79momio equitativo
EV +1.60%
Ventaja +0.416%
Kelly +0.562%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.52%26.24%26.29%27.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.47%28.57%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:14 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:14 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.101%E -0.035%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV +1.60%E +0.416%K +0.562%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -0.101%E -0.035%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -14.63%E -6.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.13%E -0.395%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.13%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -3.41%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -1.82%E -0.640%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -16.19%E -7.57%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -1.82%E -0.640%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -16.19%E -7.57%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| GTbets | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.11%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 10:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.27%EV -3.20%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.47%EV -9.54%E -4.13%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -6.05%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:40 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 10:49 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -1.04%E -0.277%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -7.58%E -3.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 10:35 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 10:35 |
| Betsson | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.80%E -7.35%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |