Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao West Coast FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao West Coast FC 0–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prediction 42.69%2.34fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.23%42.82%42.57%44.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.122.2850.00%46.70%47.17%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)

Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV +3.13%
Edge +0.783%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.34%25.65%25.98%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.504.0030.30%28.09%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.52%3.17fair odd
EV -0.383%
Edge -0.121%
Kelly -0.177%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%31.53%31.45%32.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.962.953.1635.71%33.84%33.90%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao West Coast FC (Local): 42.69%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 25.78%; Draw: 31.52%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV +3.13%E +0.783%K +1.04%G +0.033%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 11:44
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +3.13%E +0.783%K +1.04%G +0.033%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 11:44
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.57%EV -3.51%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.48%EV +1.33%E +0.337%K +0.453%G +0.006%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 11:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.32%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.32%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.16%E -3.56%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 11:50
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 11:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -5.65%E -2.56%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -6.67%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.16%E -3.56%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 11:54
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.08%EV -0.383%E -0.121%K -0.177%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:49
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -7.36%E -3.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 11:48
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 11:49
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.29%EV -7.78%E -3.60%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -2.91%E -0.943%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:49
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:34
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.20%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 11:53
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.20%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -7.78%E -3.60%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 11:54
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 11:54
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 11:49
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 11:49
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -12.91%E -6.33%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 11:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-14 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-14 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-08-14 11:54
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%1.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-08-14 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-08-14 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-08-14 11:54