Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Qingdao West Coast FC (Local): 42.69%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante): 25.78%; Empate: 31.52%. Para Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.88. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.13%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV +3.13%E +0.783%K +1.04%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 11:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +3.13%E +0.783%K +1.04%G +0.033% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 11:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.57%EV -3.51%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.48%EV +1.33%E +0.337%K +0.453%G +0.006% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.32%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.32%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.16%E -3.56%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -5.65%E -2.56%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -6.67%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.16%E -3.56%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.08%EV -0.383%E -0.121%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -7.36%E -3.39%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 11:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.29%EV -7.78%E -3.60%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -2.91%E -0.943%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 11:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.20%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 11:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.20%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -7.78%E -3.60%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -12.91%E -6.33%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 11:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88% | 1.4% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |