Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Qingdao West Coast FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC

Score final : Qingdao West Coast FC 0–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prévision 42.69%2.34cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.23%42.82%42.57%44.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.122.2850.00%46.70%47.17%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.78%3.88cote équitable
EV +3.13%
Avantage +0.783%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.34%25.65%25.98%27.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.504.0030.30%28.09%28.57%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.52%3.17cote équitable
EV -0.383%
Avantage -0.121%
Kelly -0.177%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.05%31.53%31.45%32.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.962.953.1635.71%33.84%33.90%31.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Qingdao West Coast FC (Local) : 42.69% ; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur) : 25.78% ; Match nul : 31.52%. Pour Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.88. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV +3.13%E +0.783%K +1.04%G +0.033%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 11:44
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +3.13%E +0.783%K +1.04%G +0.033%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 11:44
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.57%EV -3.51%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.48%EV +1.33%E +0.337%K +0.453%G +0.006%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 11:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.32%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.32%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.16%E -3.56%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 11:50
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 11:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -5.65%E -2.56%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -6.67%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.16%E -3.56%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 11:54
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.08%EV -0.383%E -0.121%K -0.177%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:49
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -7.36%E -3.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 11:48
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 11:49
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.29%EV -7.78%E -3.60%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -2.91%E -0.943%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:49
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:34
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.20%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 11:53
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.20%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -7.78%E -3.60%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 11:54
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 11:54
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 11:49
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 11:49
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -12.91%E -6.33%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 11:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-14 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-14 11:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-08-14 11:54
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%1.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-08-14 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-08-14 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-08-14 11:54