Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qingdao West Coast FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Início: 2026-08-14 12:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao West Coast FC 0–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Previsão 42.69%2.34odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -2.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.23%42.82%42.57%44.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.142.122.2850.00%46.70%47.17%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)

Previsão 25.78%3.88odd justa
EV +3.13%
Vantagem +0.783%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescimento +0.033%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.34%25.65%25.98%27.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.563.504.0030.30%28.09%28.57%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.52%3.17odd justa
EV -0.383%
Vantagem -0.121%
Kelly -0.177%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.05%31.53%31.45%32.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.962.953.1635.71%33.84%33.90%31.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Qingdao West Coast FC (Local): 42.69%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante): 25.78%; Empate: 31.52%. Para Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.88. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.13%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV +3.13%E +0.783%K +1.04%G +0.033%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 11:44
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +3.13%E +0.783%K +1.04%G +0.033%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 11:44
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.57%EV -3.51%E -1.55%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.48%EV +1.33%E +0.337%K +0.453%G +0.006%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 11:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 11:54
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.03%E -0.533%K -0.724%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.32%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.32%E -0.884%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.16%E -3.56%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 11:50
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 11:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.91%EV -5.65%E -2.56%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -6.67%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.16%E -3.56%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 11:54
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.08%EV -0.383%E -0.121%K -0.177%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:49
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -7.36%E -3.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 11:48
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -7.18%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 11:49
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.29%EV -7.78%E -3.60%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -2.91%E -0.943%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:49
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:34
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.46%EV -9.49%E -4.48%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -3.85%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 11:35
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.20%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 11:53
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.20%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -7.95%E -2.72%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.57%EV -7.78%E -3.60%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 11:54
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 11:49
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 11:54
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.73%E -4.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 11:49
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -2.27%E -0.734%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 11:49
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -5.43%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.47%EV -12.91%E -6.33%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -13.63%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -6.08%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.58%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -7.00%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 11:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-14 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.47%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.92%E -4.52%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.19%EV -9.21%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-14 11:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%1.0%2026-08-14 11:54
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%1.1%2026-08-14 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-08-14 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-08-14 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.88%1.4%2026-08-14 11:54