Language:English
Qingdao Hainiu FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Prediction 29.20%3.42fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%29.36%29.00%35.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.503.153.103.5540.00%31.70%32.26%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit)
Prediction 42.47%2.35fair odd
EV +0.224%
Edge +0.095%
Kelly +0.165%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.06%42.35%42.70%45.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.182.3648.78%45.92%45.87%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.33%3.53fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.29%28.30%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.203.4032.26%30.97%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 29.20%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit): 42.47%; Draw: 28.33%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV +3.66%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.052% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.16%EV -12.09%E -5.84%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.50%EV -7.07%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 09:23 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV +2.20%E +0.628%K +0.879%G +0.019% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -8.27%E -3.83%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV +2.20%E +0.628%K +0.879%G +0.019% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.79%EV -10.39%E -4.93%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.722%E -0.212%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.722%E -0.212%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -1.31%E -0.386%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -11.24%E -5.38%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -7.07%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -2.18%E -0.651%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -2.18%E -0.651%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 09:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.21%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.66%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.12%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 09:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -7.44%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.80%EV +0.224%E +0.095%K +0.165%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.83%EV -5.37%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 09:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.02%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-25 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 09:22 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.89%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-25 09:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.86%E -4.70%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -27.00%E -10.80%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-23 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 09:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-07-25 09:25 |