مدرسة الاحتمالات

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

البداية: 2026-07-25 09:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Qingdao Hainiu FC 0–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.20%3.42السعر العادل
EV +3.66%
الأفضلية +1.03%
Kelly +1.43%
النمو +0.052%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.33%29.36%29.00%35.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.503.153.103.5540.00%31.70%32.26%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.47%2.35السعر العادل
EV +0.224%
الأفضلية +0.095%
Kelly +0.165%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.06%42.35%42.70%45.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.182.182.3648.78%45.92%45.87%42.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.33%3.53السعر العادل
EV -3.67%
الأفضلية -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.93%28.29%28.30%29.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.233.203.4032.26%30.97%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV +3.66%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.052%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.16%EV -12.09%E -5.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.50%EV -7.07%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:23
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV +2.20%E +0.628%K +0.879%G +0.019%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -8.27%E -3.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 09:25
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV +2.20%E +0.628%K +0.879%G +0.019%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.79%EV -10.39%E -4.93%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 09:25
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.722%E -0.212%K -0.301%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 09:25
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.722%E -0.212%K -0.301%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 09:25
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -1.31%E -0.386%K -0.549%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -11.24%E -5.38%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -7.07%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 09:25
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -2.18%E -0.651%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 09:25
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -2.18%E -0.651%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 09:25
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:24
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:25
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 09:25
GTbets3.28I 30.49%NM 29.21%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.66%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.12%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 09:20
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:20
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 09:25
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 09:20
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:25
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -7.44%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.80%EV +0.224%E +0.095%K +0.165%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.83%EV -5.37%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 09:15
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.02%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 09:25
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:25
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 09:25
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:24
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:25
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:22
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.89%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 09:25
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 09:24
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:25
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 09:25
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.86%E -4.70%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 09:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -27.00%E -10.80%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-23 15:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-25 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-07-25 09:25