La escuela de los momios

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Inicio: 2026-07-25 09:30 UTC

Final: Qingdao Hainiu FC 0–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Predicción 29.20%3.42momio equitativo
EV +3.66%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.052%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.33%29.36%29.00%35.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.503.153.103.5540.00%31.70%32.26%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visitante)

Predicción 42.47%2.35momio equitativo
EV +0.224%
Ventaja +0.095%
Kelly +0.165%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.06%42.35%42.70%45.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.182.3648.78%45.92%45.87%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.93%28.29%28.30%29.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.233.203.4032.26%30.97%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV +3.66%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.052%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.16%EV -12.09%E -5.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.50%EV -7.07%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:23
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV +2.20%E +0.628%K +0.879%G +0.019%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -8.27%E -3.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 09:25
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV +2.20%E +0.628%K +0.879%G +0.019%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.79%EV -10.39%E -4.93%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 09:25
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.722%E -0.212%K -0.301%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 09:25
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.722%E -0.212%K -0.301%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 09:25
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -1.31%E -0.386%K -0.549%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -11.24%E -5.38%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -7.07%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 09:25
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -2.18%E -0.651%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 09:25
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -2.18%E -0.651%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 09:25
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:24
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:25
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 09:25
GTbets3.28I 30.49%NM 29.21%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.66%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.12%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 09:20
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:20
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 09:25
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 09:20
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:25
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -7.44%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.80%EV +0.224%E +0.095%K +0.165%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.83%EV -5.37%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 09:15
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.02%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 09:25
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:25
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 09:25
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:24
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:25
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:22
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.89%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 09:25
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 09:24
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:25
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 09:25
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.86%E -4.70%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 09:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -27.00%E -10.80%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-23 15:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-25 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-07-25 09:25