A Escola das Odds

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Início: 2026-07-25 09:30 UTC

Final: Qingdao Hainiu FC 0–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Previsão 29.20%3.42odd justa
EV +3.66%
Vantagem +1.03%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.33%29.36%29.00%35.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.503.153.103.5540.00%31.70%32.26%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visitante)

Previsão 42.47%2.35odd justa
EV +0.224%
Vantagem +0.095%
Kelly +0.165%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.06%42.35%42.70%45.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.182.3648.78%45.92%45.87%42.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.33%3.53odd justa
EV -3.67%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.93%28.29%28.30%29.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.233.203.4032.26%30.97%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV +3.66%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.052%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.16%EV -12.09%E -5.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.50%EV -7.07%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:23
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV +2.20%E +0.628%K +0.879%G +0.019%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -8.27%E -3.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 09:25
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV +2.20%E +0.628%K +0.879%G +0.019%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.79%EV -10.39%E -4.93%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 09:25
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.722%E -0.212%K -0.301%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 09:25
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.722%E -0.212%K -0.301%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 09:25
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -1.31%E -0.386%K -0.549%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -11.24%E -5.38%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.25%EV -7.07%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 09:25
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -2.18%E -0.651%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 09:25
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -2.18%E -0.651%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 09:25
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:24
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:25
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -3.64%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 09:25
GTbets3.28I 30.49%NM 29.21%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.66%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.12%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 09:20
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:20
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.10%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 09:25
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 09:20
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.56%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:25
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -7.44%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.80%EV +0.224%E +0.095%K +0.165%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.83%EV -5.37%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 09:15
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.02%E -2.55%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 09:25
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 09:25
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -7.42%E -3.40%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 09:25
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 09:24
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.69%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.48%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 09:25
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:22
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 09:25
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.03%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.89%EV -4.87%E -2.17%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 09:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -10.94%E -3.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.00%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 09:25
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 09:24
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.50%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:25
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 09:25
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -12.40%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.86%E -4.70%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -10.75%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 09:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -27.00%E -10.80%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -2.32%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-23 15:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-07-25 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.20%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-07-25 09:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.65%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-07-25 09:20
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41%2.0%2026-07-25 09:25