Language:English
Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Prediction 19.73%5.07fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.274%
Kelly -0.343%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.29%19.71%19.81%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.744.755.0023.81%21.11%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)
Prediction 59.88%1.67fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -6.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.33%59.93%59.77%61.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.24%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.40%4.90fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.351%
Kelly -0.443%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.68%20.36%20.42%21.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.504.504.8223.81%22.21%22.22%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 19.73%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 59.88%; Draw: 20.40%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -10.78%E -7.24%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.36%E -0.476%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -9.24%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.95%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.73%EV -6.79%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.52%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -11.98%E -8.15%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -11.98%E -8.15%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.78%EV -4.33%E -0.893%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.32%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -1.69%E -0.351%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.59%E -4.22%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.30%EV -11.69%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.12%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.32%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 10:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -8.28%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -7.20%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -8.28%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -7.20%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.10%EV -9.58%E -6.35%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.69%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
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