Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

2026-08-08 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Prediction 26.46%3.78fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.44%26.46%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.6030.77%28.74%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)

Prediction 49.67%2.01fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -5.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.92%49.88%49.62%51.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.851.9257.14%54.41%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.88%4.19fair odd
EV +0.285%
Edge +0.068%
Kelly +0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%23.69%23.92%24.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.854.2027.78%25.70%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 26.46%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 49.67%; Draw: 23.88%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.20, producing a positive expected value of +0.285%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +0.285%E +0.068%K +0.089%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:09
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.10%E -0.513%K -0.678%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 12:04
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.10%E -0.513%K -0.678%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 12:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -2.10%E -0.513%K -0.678%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 12:38
1xBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.76%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.73%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.75%EV -4.01%E -0.998%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 12:10
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.77%EV -10.10%E -5.58%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 12:40
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:04
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -13.08%E -7.48%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 12:10
GTbets3.58I 27.93%NM 26.31%EV -5.29%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -6.63%E -3.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.60%EV -4.73%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 11:54
Pinnacle3.57I 28.01%NM 26.49%EV -5.55%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.51%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.00%EV -5.92%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 12:45
Marathon Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -7.62%E -4.10%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 11:54
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.07%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:50
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.07%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:50
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.07%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 11:55
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.77%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.07%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 11:55
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -9.11%E -4.98%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -8.07%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 11:54
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.68%EV -10.60%E -5.89%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -8.07%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 11:54
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.41%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:54
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -14.02%E -4.31%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.45%EV -11.59%E -6.51%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 11:54
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 13:10
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 13:09
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 13:09
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -10.05%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.12%E -4.39%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 13:09
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -12.70%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.31%EV -12.09%E -6.83%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-02 11:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%8.7%2026-08-02 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%8.7%2026-08-02 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%9.3%2026-08-02 14:35