语言:简体中文
Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Qingdao Hainiu FC (主队)
预测 19.73%5.07公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.274%
Kelly -0.343%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.00
博彩公司预测分布
18.29%19.71%19.81%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.744.755.0023.81%21.11%21.05%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Shanghai Shenhua FC (客队)
预测 59.88%1.67公平赔率
EV -4.19%
优势 -2.62%
Kelly -6.99%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
58.33%59.93%59.77%61.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.24%65.36%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 20.40%4.90公平赔率
EV -1.69%
优势 -0.351%
Kelly -0.443%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.82
博彩公司预测分布
19.68%20.36%20.42%21.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.504.504.8223.81%22.21%22.22%20.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Qingdao Hainiu FC (主队)：19.73%；Shanghai Shenhua FC (客队)：59.88%；平局：20.40%。 对于“Qingdao Hainiu FC (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.07。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为5.00，期望值为-1.37%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -10.78%E -7.24%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.36%E -0.476%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -9.24%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.95%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.73%EV -6.79%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.52%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -11.98%E -8.15%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -11.98%E -8.15%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.78%EV -4.33%E -0.893%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.32%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -1.69%E -0.351%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.59%E -4.22%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.30%EV -11.69%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.12%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.32%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 10:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -8.28%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -7.20%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -8.28%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -7.20%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.10%EV -9.58%E -6.35%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.69%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |