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Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Predicción 19.73%5.07momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.274%
Kelly -0.343%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.29%19.71%19.81%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.744.755.0023.81%21.11%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)
Predicción 59.88%1.67momio equitativo
EV -4.19%
Ventaja -2.62%
Kelly -6.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.33%59.93%59.77%61.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.24%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.40%4.90momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.351%
Kelly -0.443%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.68%20.36%20.42%21.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.504.504.8223.81%22.21%22.22%20.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 19.73%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante): 59.88%; Empate: 20.40%. Para Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.07. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 5.00, con un valor esperado de -1.37%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -10.78%E -7.24%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.36%E -0.476%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -9.24%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.95%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.73%EV -6.79%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.52%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -11.98%E -8.15%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -11.98%E -8.15%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.78%EV -4.33%E -0.893%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.32%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -1.69%E -0.351%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.59%E -4.22%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.30%EV -11.69%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.12%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.32%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 10:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -8.28%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -7.20%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -8.28%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -7.20%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.10%EV -9.58%E -6.35%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.69%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |