Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Início: 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao Hainiu FC 0–1 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Previsão 19.73%5.07odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.274%
Kelly -0.343%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.29%19.71%19.81%20.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.744.755.0023.81%21.11%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)

Previsão 59.88%1.67odd justa
EV -4.19%
Vantagem -2.62%
Kelly -6.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.33%59.93%59.77%61.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.471.531.531.6068.03%65.24%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.40%4.90odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -0.351%
Kelly -0.443%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.68%20.36%20.42%21.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.504.504.8223.81%22.21%22.22%20.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 19.73%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante): 59.88%; Empate: 20.40%. Para Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.07. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.00, com valor esperado de -1.37%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:35
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:35
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:35
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -1.37%E -0.274%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.38%EV -10.78%E -7.24%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:35
1xBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.36%E -0.476%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -9.24%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:55
GTbets🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.95%EV -5.39%E -3.41%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.73%EV -6.79%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 10:50
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.52%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -11.98%E -8.15%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.36%EV -3.34%E -0.682%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.20%EV -11.98%E -8.15%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 10:35
Pinnacle🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.78%EV -4.33%E -0.893%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.32%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.90%EV -1.69%E -0.351%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 10:59
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.59%E -4.22%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:59
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -5.32%E -1.11%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.49%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.30%EV -11.69%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.12%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 10:40
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.32%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 10:45
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 10:35
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.30%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.89%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 10:35
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.79%E -3.01%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 10:45
Bovada🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -7.29%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 10:43
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -8.28%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -7.20%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:40
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -8.28%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -7.20%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.23%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -4.14%E -0.881%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:55
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.19%E -2.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63%EV -7.79%E -5.06%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 10:35
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:45
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 10:59
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -7.19%E -4.64%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 10:59
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.10%EV -9.58%E -6.35%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -9.26%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.69%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 10:59
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.99%E -3.82%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -3.12%E -0.657%K -0.832%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:55
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.39%E -5.48%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 10:40
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -11.23%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.26%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -13.21%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -8.98%E -5.91%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -6.18%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -15.18%E -3.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.45%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -8.22%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 10:40
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -17.15%E -4.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -10.18%E -6.79%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -14.34%E -3.41%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-08 10:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Matchbook◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-08-08 10:55
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-08-08 10:45