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Liaoning Tieren FC v Henan FC

2026-08-23 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Prediction 31.70%3.15fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.05%31.63%31.71%32.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.902.903.0137.74%34.47%34.48%33.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Henan FC (Visit)

Prediction 41.33%2.42fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.52%41.37%41.35%42.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.242.3147.62%45.04%44.64%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.97%3.71fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.811%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.07%27.00%26.94%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.403.6030.77%29.37%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 31.70%; Henan FC (Visit): 41.33%; Draw: 26.97%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -2.92%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -4.58%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 12:24
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.92%E -0.811%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:04
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 11:24
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 11:29
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.79%EV -5.53%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.37%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.84%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 12:29
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.48%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:28
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -7.43%E -2.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -7.42%E -3.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:19
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 11:54
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 11:24
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 11:24
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 11:25
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:14
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:13
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.70%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 11:24
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.70%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 11:24
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -8.70%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 14:04
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.70%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -14.41%E -5.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.50%EV -15.99%E -6.04%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-16 11:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%5.9%2026-08-16 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 27.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 48.72%2.80I 35.71%NM 23.67%50.9%2026-08-16 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 27.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 48.72%2.80I 35.71%NM 23.67%50.9%2026-08-16 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 27.75%1.35I 74.07%NM 48.52%2.76I 36.23%NM 23.73%52.7%2026-08-16 14:14

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