Language:English
Liaoning Tieren FC v Henan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prediction 33.36%3.00fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.05%33.25%33.32%34.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.802.9038.46%35.85%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Henan FC (Visit)
Prediction 39.95%2.50fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%39.96%39.94%41.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.292.302.4047.17%43.59%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.69%3.75fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%26.79%26.74%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.503.6131.25%29.10%28.57%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 33.36%; Henan FC (Visit): 39.95%; Draw: 26.69%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -3.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.28%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.08%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.64%EV -3.65%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.79%EV -4.92%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.98%EV -6.32%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -14.59%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -6.25%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -6.92%E -2.97%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 10:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.25%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 10:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 10:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -12.91%E -5.92%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -13.71%E -6.35%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.53%EV -9.25%E -3.40%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.65%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.53%EV -9.25%E -3.40%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.65%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 10:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.88%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.60%EV -7.72%E -3.34%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.03%EV -15.31%E -7.22%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.03%EV -15.31%E -7.22%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -11.59%E -4.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -5.25%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -12.11%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.87% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.87% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |