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Liaoning Tieren FC v Henan FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Predicción 33.36%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.25%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.05%33.25%33.32%34.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.792.802.9038.46%35.85%35.71%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Henan FC (Visitante)
Predicción 39.95%2.50momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -2.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.08%39.96%39.94%41.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.122.292.302.4047.17%43.59%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.69%3.75momio equitativo
EV -3.65%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.40%26.79%26.74%28.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.443.503.6131.25%29.10%28.57%27.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 33.36%; Henan FC (Visitante): 39.95%; Empate: 26.69%. Para Liaoning Tieren FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.00. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.90, con un valor esperado de -3.25%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.28%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.08%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.64%EV -3.65%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.79%EV -4.92%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.98%EV -6.32%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -14.59%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -6.25%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -6.92%E -2.97%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 10:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.25%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 10:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 10:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 10:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -12.91%E -5.92%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 14:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -13.71%E -6.35%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.53%EV -9.25%E -3.40%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.65%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.53%EV -9.25%E -3.40%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.65%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 10:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.88%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.60%EV -7.72%E -3.34%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.03%EV -15.31%E -7.22%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.03%EV -15.31%E -7.22%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-21 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -11.59%E -4.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -5.25%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -12.11%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 09:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.87% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.87% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92% | 0.4% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |