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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Liaoning Tieren FC v Henan FC

2026-08-23 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Liaoning Tieren FC (主队)

预测 31.70%3.15公平赔率
EV -4.58%
优势 -1.52%
Kelly -2.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.01

博彩公司预测分布
31.05%31.63%31.71%32.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.902.903.0137.74%34.47%34.48%33.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Henan FC (客队)

预测 41.33%2.42公平赔率
EV -4.52%
优势 -1.96%
Kelly -3.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.31

博彩公司预测分布
40.52%41.37%41.35%42.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.222.242.3147.62%45.04%44.64%43.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.97%3.71公平赔率
EV -2.92%
优势 -0.811%
Kelly -1.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.07%27.00%26.94%28.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.413.403.6030.77%29.37%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Liaoning Tieren FC (主队)：31.70%；Henan FC (客队)：41.33%；平局：26.97%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.71。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-2.92%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -4.58%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -4.52%E -1.96%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -4.54%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 12:24
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.92%E -0.811%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:04
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 11:24
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.90%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 11:29
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.79%EV -5.53%E -1.86%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.37%EV -5.35%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.84%EV -4.81%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 12:29
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.48%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:28
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -7.43%E -2.55%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -7.42%E -3.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -7.23%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 12:19
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 11:54
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 11:24
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 11:24
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.18%EV -8.24%E -3.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 11:25
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:14
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:13
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.07%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -8.70%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.00%E -3.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 11:24
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.70%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.61%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 11:24
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -8.70%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.07%E -4.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 14:04
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.70%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.31%E -2.44%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -14.41%E -5.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -9.66%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.50%EV -15.99%E -6.04%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%EV -13.20%E -6.29%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%EV -12.36%E -3.80%K -5.49%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-16 11:24
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%5.9%2026-08-16 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%11.1%2026-08-16 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%11.1%2026-08-16 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 34.37%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.50%19.2%2026-08-16 14:45

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