Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liaoning Tieren FC v Henan FC

Início: 2026-08-23 11:00 UTC

Final: Liaoning Tieren FC 4–4 Henan FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)

Previsão 33.36%3.00odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.05%33.25%33.32%34.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.792.802.9038.46%35.85%35.71%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Henan FC (Visitante)

Previsão 39.95%2.50odd justa
EV -4.13%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -2.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.08%39.96%39.94%41.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.292.302.4047.17%43.59%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.69%3.75odd justa
EV -3.65%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.40%26.79%26.74%28.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.443.503.6131.25%29.10%28.57%27.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 33.36%; Henan FC (Visitante): 39.95%; Empate: 26.69%. Para Liaoning Tieren FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.90, com valor esperado de -3.25%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 14:20
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 14:19
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 14:20
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.25%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -8.92%E -3.91%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.28%EV -3.58%E -1.24%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.08%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.64%EV -3.65%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 10:25
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.79%EV -4.92%E -2.07%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.98%EV -6.32%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 09:40
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 10:25
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.92%E -1.73%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -14.59%E -4.56%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 10:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -6.25%E -2.22%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -6.92%E -2.97%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 10:38
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.25%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 09:40
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.13%E -1.72%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 10:40
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.92%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 10:25
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 10:29
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 10:25
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 10:00
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 10:10
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -6.58%E -2.35%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -12.91%E -5.92%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.59%E -3.16%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 14:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.12%E -2.61%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 09:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 10:25
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 10:25
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -8.25%E -3.00%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -13.71%E -6.35%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 14:20
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.53%EV -9.25%E -3.40%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.65%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 09:40
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.53%EV -9.25%E -3.40%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.65%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 09:40
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 10:25
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 10:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.88%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.60%EV -7.72%E -3.34%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.92%E -2.30%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 09:40
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.12%E -3.53%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.26%E -2.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 10:40
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.03%EV -15.31%E -7.22%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-21 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -9.92%E -3.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.03%EV -15.31%E -7.22%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -13.26%E -4.08%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-21 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.20%EV -11.59%E -4.37%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.28%EV -10.12%E -4.50%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -5.25%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -13.26%E -5.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -12.11%E -5.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 09:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.87%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-08-23 10:50
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.87%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-08-23 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-08-23 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.56%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-23 10:50
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-23 10:50