Language:English
Liaoning Tieren FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prediction 14.63%6.83fair odd
EV -0.482%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.083%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.82%14.80%14.61%16.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.056.006.8018.52%16.52%16.67%14.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)
Prediction 64.46%1.55fair odd
EV -0.094%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.171%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.71%64.15%64.51%65.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.461.441.5571.94%68.38%69.44%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.91%4.78fair odd
EV -0.680%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.181%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.79%21.04%20.88%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.264.204.7526.67%23.49%23.81%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 14.63%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 64.46%; Draw: 20.91%. For Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.551. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.550, with an expected value of -0.094%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -0.482%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -0.482%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.22%EV -1.36%E -0.202%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.18%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.61%EV -2.77%E -0.596%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV -4.29%E -0.656%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -3.19%E -0.689%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -0.680%E -0.143%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 09:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.47%E -5.97%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.46%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 09:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -7.07%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -7.80%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -7.80%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -8.53%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.63%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.46%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.26%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.28%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -9.26%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 08:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.61%E -3.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -21.59%E -5.76%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -15.12%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.37%EV -8.47%E -5.97%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -0.739%E -0.480%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 12:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -0.739%E -0.480%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -18.45%E -4.73%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 12:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -1.38%E -0.904%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -18.45%E -4.73%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 12:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.45%EV -10.41%E -7.49%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.51%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -20.97%E -3.88%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -3.32%E -2.21%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -19.50%E -5.06%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -20.97%E -3.88%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -3.32%E -2.21%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -19.50%E -5.06%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |