La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Liaoning Tieren FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Predicción 14.63%6.83momio equitativo
EV -0.482%
Ventaja -0.071%
Kelly -0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.82%14.80%14.61%16.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.056.006.8018.52%16.52%16.67%14.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)
Predicción 64.46%1.55momio equitativo
EV -0.094%
Ventaja -0.061%
Kelly -0.171%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.71%64.15%64.51%65.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.461.441.5571.94%68.38%69.44%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.91%4.78momio equitativo
EV -0.680%
Ventaja -0.143%
Kelly -0.181%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.79%21.04%20.88%23.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.264.204.7526.67%23.49%23.81%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -0.482%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -0.482%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Pinnacle | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.22%EV -1.36%E -0.202%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.18%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.61%EV -2.77%E -0.596%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| 1xBet | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV -4.29%E -0.656%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -3.19%E -0.689%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Betway | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -0.680%E -0.143%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 09:14 |
| BetUS | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.47%E -5.97%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| Bet Victor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.46%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 09:08 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -7.07%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| NordicBet | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -7.80%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Betsson | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -7.80%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Everygame | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -8.53%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.63%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.46%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.26%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.28%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -9.26%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 08:10 |
| DraftKings | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.61%E -3.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -21.59%E -5.76%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -15.12%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.37%EV -8.47%E -5.97%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| betPARX | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| TABtouch | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| BetRivers | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -0.739%E -0.480%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 12:31 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -0.739%E -0.480%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -18.45%E -4.73%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 12:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -1.38%E -0.904%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -18.45%E -4.73%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 12:34 |
| Neds | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.45%EV -10.41%E -7.49%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.51%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -20.97%E -3.88%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -3.32%E -2.21%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -19.50%E -5.06%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -20.97%E -3.88%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -3.32%E -2.21%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -19.50%E -5.06%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| Kalshi | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |