L’École des cotesFrançais
Liaoning Tieren FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prévision 14.63%6.83cote équitable
EV -0.482%
Avantage -0.071%
Kelly -0.083%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.82%14.80%14.61%16.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.056.006.8018.52%16.52%16.67%14.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 64.46%1.55cote équitable
EV -0.094%
Avantage -0.061%
Kelly -0.171%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.71%64.15%64.51%65.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.461.441.5571.94%68.38%69.44%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.91%4.78cote équitable
EV -0.680%
Avantage -0.143%
Kelly -0.181%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.79%21.04%20.88%23.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.264.204.7526.67%23.49%23.81%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -0.482%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -0.482%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Pinnacle | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.22%EV -1.36%E -0.202%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.18%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.61%EV -2.77%E -0.596%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| 1xBet | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV -4.29%E -0.656%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -3.19%E -0.689%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Betway | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -0.680%E -0.143%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Bovada | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 09:14 |
| BetUS | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| FanDuel | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.47%E -5.97%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| betfred_uk | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-05 09:10 |
| Bet Victor | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.46%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 09:08 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -7.07%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| NordicBet | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -7.80%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Betsson | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -7.80%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Everygame | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -8.53%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.63%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.46%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.26%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.28%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -9.26%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-05 08:10 |
| DraftKings | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.61%E -3.11%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| 888sport | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| William Hill | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-05 08:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -21.59%E -5.76%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -15.12%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.37%EV -8.47%E -5.97%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| betPARX | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| TABtouch | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| BetRivers | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -0.739%E -0.480%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 12:31 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -0.739%E -0.480%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -18.45%E -4.73%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 12:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -1.38%E -0.904%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -18.45%E -4.73%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 12:34 |
| Neds | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-05 08:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.45%EV -10.41%E -7.49%K -26.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.51%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-05 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -20.97%E -3.88%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -3.32%E -2.21%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -19.50%E -5.06%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -20.97%E -3.88%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -3.32%E -2.21%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -19.50%E -5.06%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 09:15 |
| Kalshi | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-05-05 09:05 |