La scuola delle quote

Liaoning Tieren FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Inizio: 2026-05-05 11:35 UTC

Finale: Liaoning Tieren FC 0–1 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

41 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Casa)

Previsione 14.63%6.83quota equa
EV -0.482%
Vantaggio -0.071%
Kelly -0.083%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.82%14.80%14.61%16.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.406.056.006.8018.52%16.52%16.67%14.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 64.46%1.55quota equa
EV -0.094%
Vantaggio -0.061%
Kelly -0.171%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.71%64.15%64.51%65.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.391.461.441.5571.94%68.38%69.44%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.91%4.78quota equa
EV -0.680%
Vantaggio -0.143%
Kelly -0.181%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.79%21.04%20.88%23.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.264.204.7526.67%23.49%23.81%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -0.482%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 08:59
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -0.482%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 08:59
Pinnacle6.74I 14.84%NM 14.22%EV -1.36%E -0.202%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.18%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.61%EV -2.77%E -0.596%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 09:20
1xBet6.54I 15.29%NM 14.57%EV -4.29%E -0.656%K -0.774%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.84%EV -5.25%E -3.57%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.59%EV -3.19%E -0.689%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 09:05
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -0.680%E -0.143%K -0.181%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 08:59
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 09:04
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 09:14
BetUS6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 09:15
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 09:04
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 09:10
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.47%E -5.97%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 09:05
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-05 09:10
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -4.87%E -0.750%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.46%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 09:08
Marathon Bet6.35I 15.75%NM 14.59%EV -7.07%E -1.11%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.81%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 09:00
NordicBet6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -7.80%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 09:05
Betsson6.30I 15.87%NM 14.73%EV -7.80%E -1.24%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.95%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 09:05
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -8.53%E -1.37%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.63%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -9.46%E -2.19%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-05 09:05
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -9.26%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.28%EV -7.83%E -5.47%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -8.00%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 09:04
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -9.26%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -6.54%E -4.51%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 08:10
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.61%E -3.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.91%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 09:00
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 09:00
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 08:59
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 09:00
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 08:59
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -12.19%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -9.76%E -6.97%K -24.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -21.59%E -5.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-05 09:04
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -15.12%E -2.61%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.37%EV -8.47%E -5.97%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -3.82%E -0.830%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 09:04
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 12:35
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 12:35
Unibet (SE)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 12:35
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 12:35
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 12:39
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -18.04%E -3.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.91%EV -0.094%E -0.061%K -0.171%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 12:39
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.88%EV -0.739%E -0.480%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -17.41%E -4.41%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 12:31
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -0.739%E -0.480%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -18.45%E -4.73%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:33
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -1.38%E -0.904%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -18.45%E -4.73%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 12:34
Neds5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-05 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.18%E -4.99%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-05 08:59
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -19.51%E -3.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.45%EV -10.41%E -7.49%K -26.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.51%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-05 09:04
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -20.97%E -3.88%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -3.32%E -2.21%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -19.50%E -5.06%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 12:35
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -20.97%E -3.88%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -3.32%E -2.21%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -19.50%E -5.06%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-03 12:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook7.20I 13.89%NM 13.82%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%0.5%2026-05-05 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.0%2026-05-05 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.0%2026-05-05 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.0%2026-05-05 09:15
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-05-05 09:05