Language:English
Henan FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Henan FC (Local)
Prediction 48.63%2.06fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%48.59%48.64%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.901.9755.56%52.71%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 25.00%4.00fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%25.01%24.95%26.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.703.8829.41%27.13%27.03%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.37%3.79fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.40%26.41%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.473.503.6332.26%28.79%28.57%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Henan FC (Local): 48.63%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 25.00%; Draw: 26.37%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.88, with an expected value of -3.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.76%EV -3.01%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.70%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.76%E -0.977%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -6.15%E -3.18%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 03:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -15.01%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -15.01%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.77%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 03:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.76%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.58%E -4.56%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.26%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 03:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -10.04%E -5.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -10.04%E -5.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -11.01%E -6.02%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -11.50%E -6.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.76%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -11.50%E -6.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.76%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.30%EV -11.50%E -6.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.01%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -12.47%E -6.93%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.51%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -18.24%E -5.88%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-01 03:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 3.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |