L’École des cotes

Henan FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 11:00 UTC

Score final : Henan FC 4–0 Liaoning Tieren FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Henan FC (Local)

Prévision 48.63%2.06cote équitable
EV -4.20%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -4.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.72%48.59%48.64%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.901.9755.56%52.71%52.63%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.00%4.00cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -0.776%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.20%25.01%24.95%26.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.693.703.8829.41%27.13%27.03%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.37%3.79cote équitable
EV -4.26%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%26.40%26.41%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.6332.26%28.79%28.57%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.76%EV -3.01%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 07:54
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.70%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.76%E -0.977%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 07:55
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 07:55
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 07:55
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 00:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 03:19
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-30 23:59
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 00:00
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -6.15%E -3.18%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 03:16
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 03:19
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -15.01%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -15.01%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-30 23:59
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 03:19
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.77%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:55
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 03:19
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 03:19
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 07:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 03:18
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.76%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-01 07:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 03:19
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.58%E -4.56%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.26%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 03:20
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 07:53
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -10.04%E -5.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -10.04%E -5.43%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 07:54
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -11.01%E -6.02%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 03:19
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -11.50%E -6.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.76%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -11.50%E -6.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.76%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.30%EV -11.50%E -6.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.01%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -12.47%E -6.93%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.51%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -18.24%E -5.88%K -8.69%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-01 03:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%1.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%3.0%2026-05-01 07:54