La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Henan FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Henan FC (Local)
Predicción 48.63%2.06momio equitativo
EV -4.20%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -4.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.72%48.59%48.64%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.901.901.9755.56%52.71%52.63%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)
Predicción 25.00%4.00momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -0.776%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.20%25.01%24.95%26.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.703.8829.41%27.13%27.03%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.37%3.79momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.55%26.40%26.41%27.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.473.503.6332.26%28.79%28.57%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.76%EV -3.01%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.70%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.76%E -0.977%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BetUS | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.36%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.17%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bovada | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -6.15%E -3.18%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 03:16 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -15.01%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -15.01%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.77%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Betsson | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 03:18 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.28%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -8.76%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.01%E -2.78%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.58%E -4.56%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -11.26%E -3.17%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.72%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-01 03:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.06%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -10.04%E -5.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.26%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -10.04%E -5.43%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.51%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -11.01%E -6.02%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -5.01%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 03:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -11.50%E -6.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.76%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -11.50%E -6.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -8.76%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.30%EV -11.50%E -6.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.01%E -4.41%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -12.47%E -6.93%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -12.51%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -18.24%E -5.88%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-01 03:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 3.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |