The School of Odds

Dalian Yingbo v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

2026-07-18 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prediction 43.90%2.28fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.03%43.83%45.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.092.102.1752%48%48%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)

Prediction 30.61%3.27fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%30.58%30.63%31.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.993.003.1338%33%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -0.600%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.207%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.80%25.39%25.54%26.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.643.603.9030%28%28%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.50%EV -4.73%E -2.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.85%EV -6.33%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.21%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 10:59
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 43.84%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.64%EV -5.41%E -1.75%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.52%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 11:50
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.11%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 10:49
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.11%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 10:50
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.47%EV -4.19%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.17%EV -3.40%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 11:08
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -6.93%E -3.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -5.11%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -1.87%E -0.487%K -0.658%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 11:19
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -6.93%E -3.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 10:54
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.56%EV -6.93%E -3.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 10:54
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 10:54
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 11:44
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 11:44
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 11:44
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 11:44
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.34%EV -8.24%E -3.94%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -6.94%E -2.28%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -6.21%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 10:53
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -6.64%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -0.600%E -0.154%K -0.207%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 10:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 43.80%EV -8.68%E -4.17%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.89%EV -9.70%E -3.29%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -8.25%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 10:54
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -0.600%E -0.154%K -0.207%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -0.600%E -0.154%K -0.207%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 11:15
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 10:48
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -10.00%E -4.88%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.70%E -3.29%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 10:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -11.23%E -3.87%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -4.42%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 10:50
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -12.76%E -4.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -13.34%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-12 10:54
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.35%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.52%EV -15.82%E -5.75%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -12.07%E -3.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-12 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 43.27%EV -14.83%E -7.64%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.68%EV -18.88%E -7.13%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.06%EV -14.62%E -4.36%K -6.22%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-12 11:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.