Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dalian Yingbo v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 11:35 UTC

Score final : Dalian Yingbo 3–1 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prévision 46.26%2.16cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -3.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.52%46.31%46.12%48.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.832.002.002.0854.64%49.88%50.00%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.51%3.28cote équitable
EV +0.697%
Avantage +0.211%
Kelly +0.303%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.64%30.42%30.63%32.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.623.002.953.3038.17%33.39%33.90%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.22%4.31cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.586%
Kelly -0.769%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.22%23.27%23.25%24.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.753.943.954.2026.67%25.38%25.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dalian Yingbo (Local) : 46.26% ; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur) : 30.51% ; Match nul : 23.22%. Pour Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.28. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.30, soit une espérance positive de +0.697%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV +0.697%E +0.211%K +0.303%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.80%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -0.828%E -0.255%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.88%EV -1.74%E -0.542%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -3.62%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 11:20
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -2.35%E -0.736%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:30
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -2.35%E -0.736%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -12.10%E -6.37%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.35%E -0.736%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.30%EV -9.33%E -4.76%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 11:20
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.63%E -2.76%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -9.66%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 11:05
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:25
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 11:20
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -11.64%E -6.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -11.64%E -6.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -11.64%E -6.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 11:30
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.07%EV -6.09%E -3.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -6.02%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.56%EV -7.80%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.46%E -0.586%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 11:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 11:00
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:30
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -9.07%E -3.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:00
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -9.07%E -3.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:00
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 11:05
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.40%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.02%EV -8.86%E -4.50%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 11:00
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.69%EV -4.24%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 11:05
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 11:00
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 11:00
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 11:10
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 11:05
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -12.12%E -4.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -12.12%E -4.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -11.18%E -5.82%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -8.38%K -18.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.40%EV -20.05%E -7.65%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.22%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-18 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-07-18 11:30