La escuela de los momios

Dalian Yingbo v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Inicio: 2026-07-18 11:35 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 3–1 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Predicción 46.26%2.16momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -3.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.52%46.31%46.12%48.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.002.002.0854.64%49.88%50.00%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)

Predicción 30.51%3.28momio equitativo
EV +0.697%
Ventaja +0.211%
Kelly +0.303%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.64%30.42%30.63%32.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.623.002.953.3038.17%33.39%33.90%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.22%4.31momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.586%
Kelly -0.769%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.22%23.27%23.25%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.753.943.954.2026.67%25.38%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV +0.697%E +0.211%K +0.303%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 11:30
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.80%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -0.828%E -0.255%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 11:30
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.88%EV -1.74%E -0.542%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -3.62%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 11:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -2.35%E -0.736%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -2.35%E -0.736%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -12.10%E -6.37%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.35%E -0.736%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.30%EV -9.33%E -4.76%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 11:30
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 11:20
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.63%E -2.76%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -9.66%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 11:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 11:20
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -11.64%E -6.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -11.64%E -6.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -11.64%E -6.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 11:30
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.07%EV -6.09%E -3.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -6.02%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.56%EV -7.80%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.46%E -0.586%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 11:04
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 11:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:30
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -9.07%E -3.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -9.07%E -3.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:00
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 11:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.40%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.02%EV -8.86%E -4.50%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 11:00
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.69%EV -4.24%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 11:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 11:00
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 11:00
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 11:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 11:05
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -12.12%E -4.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -12.12%E -4.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 11:05
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 11:05
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 11:05
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -11.18%E -5.82%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 11:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -8.38%K -18.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.40%EV -20.05%E -7.65%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.22%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-18 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-07-18 11:30