La scuola delle quote

Dalian Yingbo v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Inizio: 2026-07-18 11:35 UTC

Finale: Dalian Yingbo 3–1 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Casa)

Previsione 46.26%2.16quota equa
EV -3.77%
Vantaggio -1.81%
Kelly -3.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.52%46.31%46.12%48.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.002.002.0854.64%49.88%50.00%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.51%3.28quota equa
EV +0.697%
Vantaggio +0.211%
Kelly +0.303%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.64%30.42%30.63%32.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.623.002.953.3038.17%33.39%33.90%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.22%4.31quota equa
EV -2.46%
Vantaggio -0.586%
Kelly -0.769%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.22%23.27%23.25%24.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.753.943.954.2026.67%25.38%25.32%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV +0.697%E +0.211%K +0.303%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 11:30
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 47.80%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -0.828%E -0.255%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 11:30
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.88%EV -1.74%E -0.542%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -3.62%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 11:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -2.35%E -0.736%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -2.35%E -0.736%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -12.10%E -6.37%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -2.35%E -0.736%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.30%EV -9.33%E -4.76%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 11:30
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -4.78%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 11:20
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.82%EV -5.63%E -2.76%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -9.66%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 11:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:25
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 11:20
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.49%EV -11.64%E -6.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -11.64%E -6.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -11.64%E -6.09%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -5.41%E -1.74%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 11:30
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.07%EV -6.09%E -3.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -6.02%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.56%EV -7.80%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:30
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.46%E -0.586%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 11:04
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 11:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:30
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.46%E -2.82%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -9.07%E -3.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.96%EV -9.07%E -3.04%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 11:00
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:00
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.81%EV -3.77%E -1.81%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 11:05
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-18 11:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.40%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.02%EV -8.86%E -4.50%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -9.98%E -3.38%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-18 11:00
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.69%EV -4.24%E -2.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -8.27%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 11:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-18 11:00
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -11.75%E -3.09%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.92%EV -8.40%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 11:00
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -6.55%E -3.24%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.91%E -3.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 11:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -9.79%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.51%E -3.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 11:05
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -12.12%E -4.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -12.12%E -4.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.43%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 11:05
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 11:05
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -7.48%E -3.74%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%EV -13.03%E -4.57%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 11:05
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.78%EV -11.18%E -5.82%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -14.56%E -5.20%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.75%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-18 11:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 46.38%EV -15.34%E -8.38%K -18.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.40%EV -20.05%E -7.65%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.22%EV -7.11%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-18 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:30
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.46%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-07-18 11:25
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-07-18 11:30