A Escola das Odds

Dalian Yingbo v Henan FC

Início: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 2–1 Henan FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Previsão 47.95%2.09odd justa
EV +14.13%
Vantagem +5.94%
Kelly +10.24%
Crescimento +1.45%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.34%47.04%48.15%51.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.971.942.3857.80%50.87%51.68%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Henan FC (Visitante)

Previsão 24.57%4.07odd justa
EV +5.63%
Vantagem +1.31%
Kelly +1.71%
Crescimento +0.096%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.84%25.26%24.38%32.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.683.734.3034.48%27.19%26.85%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.48%3.64odd justa
EV -3.82%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.82%27.71%27.47%29.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.253.293.5033.33%30.74%30.44%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV +14.13%E +5.94%K +10.24%G +1.45%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -28.76%E -9.92%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:08
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV +9.34%E +4.09%K +7.29%G +0.681%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV -16.97%E -5.02%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.40%EV -10.14%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV +5.50%E +2.50%K +4.58%G +0.252%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -20.16%E -6.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 09:54
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 46.49%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.83%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.68%EV -2.45%E -0.690%K -0.960%G +0.000%-1.8%2026-04-18 10:00
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 46.49%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.83%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.68%EV -2.45%E -0.690%K -0.960%G +0.000%-1.8%2026-04-18 10:00
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 46.11%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.63%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.27%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%-1.0%2026-04-18 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.45%EV -1.21%E -0.589%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 09:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.45%EV -1.21%E -0.589%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.69%E -0.826%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -1.69%E -0.826%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 10:00
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.09%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -4.09%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -13.44%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -4.57%E -2.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.37%EV -3.70%E -0.944%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.61%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:00
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.27%EV -1.49%E -0.372%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -10.42%E -3.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:00
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -2.96%E -0.751%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 49.41%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.96%E -0.751%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 09:58
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -9.37%E -4.96%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:00
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +3.18%E +0.756%K +0.993%G +0.032%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 09:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 09:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -5.42%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.76%E -6.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 10:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV +5.63%E +1.31%K +1.71%G +0.096%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 10:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -13.68%E -7.60%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV +3.18%E +0.756%K +0.993%G +0.032%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -13.68%E -7.60%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -1.74%E -0.434%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -17.04%E -9.85%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-18 09:59
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-18 10:00