L’École des cotes

Dalian Yingbo v Henan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Score final : Dalian Yingbo 2–1 Henan FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Prévision 47.95%2.09cote équitable
EV +14.13%
Avantage +5.94%
Kelly +10.24%
Croissance +1.45%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.34%47.04%48.15%51.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.971.942.3857.80%50.87%51.68%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Henan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.57%4.07cote équitable
EV +5.63%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +1.71%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.84%25.26%24.38%32.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.683.734.3034.48%27.19%26.85%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.82%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.82%27.71%27.47%29.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.293.5033.33%30.74%30.44%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV +14.13%E +5.94%K +10.24%G +1.45%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -28.76%E -9.92%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:08
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV +9.34%E +4.09%K +7.29%G +0.681%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV -16.97%E -5.02%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.40%EV -10.14%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV +5.50%E +2.50%K +4.58%G +0.252%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -20.16%E -6.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 09:54
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 46.49%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.83%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.68%EV -2.45%E -0.690%K -0.960%G +0.000%-1.8%2026-04-18 10:00
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 46.49%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.83%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.68%EV -2.45%E -0.690%K -0.960%G +0.000%-1.8%2026-04-18 10:00
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 46.11%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.63%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.27%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%-1.0%2026-04-18 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.45%EV -1.21%E -0.589%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 09:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.45%EV -1.21%E -0.589%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.69%E -0.826%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -1.69%E -0.826%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 10:00
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.09%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -4.09%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -13.44%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -4.57%E -2.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.37%EV -3.70%E -0.944%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.61%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:00
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.27%EV -1.49%E -0.372%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -10.42%E -3.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:00
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -2.96%E -0.751%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 49.41%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.96%E -0.751%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 09:58
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -9.37%E -4.96%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:00
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +3.18%E +0.756%K +0.993%G +0.032%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 09:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 09:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -5.42%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.76%E -6.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 10:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV +5.63%E +1.31%K +1.71%G +0.096%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 10:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -13.68%E -7.60%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV +3.18%E +0.756%K +0.993%G +0.032%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -13.68%E -7.60%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -1.74%E -0.434%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -17.04%E -9.85%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-18 09:59
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-18 10:00