مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dalian Yingbo v Henan FC

البداية: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Dalian Yingbo 2–1 Henan FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.95%2.09السعر العادل
EV +14.13%
الأفضلية +5.94%
Kelly +10.24%
النمو +1.45%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.34%47.04%48.15%51.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.971.942.3857.80%50.87%51.68%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Henan FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.57%4.07السعر العادل
EV +5.63%
الأفضلية +1.31%
Kelly +1.71%
النمو +0.096%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.84%25.26%24.38%32.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.683.734.3034.48%27.19%26.85%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.48%3.64السعر العادل
EV -3.82%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -1.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.82%27.71%27.47%29.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.253.293.5033.33%30.74%30.44%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV +14.13%E +5.94%K +10.24%G +1.45%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -28.76%E -9.92%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:08
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV +9.34%E +4.09%K +7.29%G +0.681%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV -16.97%E -5.02%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.40%EV -10.14%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV +5.50%E +2.50%K +4.58%G +0.252%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -20.16%E -6.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 09:54
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 46.49%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.83%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.68%EV -2.45%E -0.690%K -0.960%G +0.000%-1.8%2026-04-18 10:00
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 46.49%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.83%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.68%EV -2.45%E -0.690%K -0.960%G +0.000%-1.8%2026-04-18 10:00
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 46.11%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.63%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.27%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%-1.0%2026-04-18 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.45%EV -1.21%E -0.589%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 09:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.45%EV -1.21%E -0.589%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.69%E -0.826%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -1.69%E -0.826%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 10:00
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.09%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -4.09%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -13.44%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -4.57%E -2.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.37%EV -3.70%E -0.944%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.61%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:00
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.27%EV -1.49%E -0.372%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -10.42%E -3.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:00
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -2.96%E -0.751%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 49.41%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.96%E -0.751%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 09:58
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -9.37%E -4.96%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:00
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +3.18%E +0.756%K +0.993%G +0.032%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 09:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 09:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -5.42%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.76%E -6.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 10:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV +5.63%E +1.31%K +1.71%G +0.096%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 10:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -13.68%E -7.60%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV +3.18%E +0.756%K +0.993%G +0.032%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -13.68%E -7.60%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -1.74%E -0.434%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -17.04%E -9.85%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-18 10:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-18 09:59
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-18 10:00