La escuela de los momios

Dalian Yingbo v Henan FC

Inicio: 2026-04-18 11:00 UTC

Final: Dalian Yingbo 2–1 Henan FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dalian Yingbo (Local)

Predicción 47.95%2.09momio equitativo
EV +14.13%
Ventaja +5.94%
Kelly +10.24%
Crecimiento +1.45%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.34%47.04%48.15%51.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.971.942.3857.80%50.87%51.68%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Henan FC (Visitante)

Predicción 24.57%4.07momio equitativo
EV +5.63%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +1.71%
Crecimiento +0.096%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.84%25.26%24.38%32.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.683.734.3034.48%27.19%26.85%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.82%27.71%27.47%29.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.293.5033.33%30.74%30.44%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV +14.13%E +5.94%K +10.24%G +1.45%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -28.76%E -9.92%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:08
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%EV +9.34%E +4.09%K +7.29%G +0.681%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.44%EV -16.97%E -5.02%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.40%EV -10.14%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV +5.50%E +2.50%K +4.58%G +0.252%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -20.16%E -6.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 09:54
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 46.49%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.83%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.68%EV -2.45%E -0.690%K -0.960%G +0.000%-1.8%2026-04-18 10:00
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 46.49%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.83%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.68%EV -2.45%E -0.690%K -0.960%G +0.000%-1.8%2026-04-18 10:00
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 46.11%EV +5.02%E +2.29%K +4.22%G +0.212%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.63%EV +0.720%E +0.176%K +0.232%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.27%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%-1.0%2026-04-18 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV +0.705%E +0.336%K +0.641%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -15.25%E -4.42%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -16.19%E -5.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 10:00
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.45%EV -1.21%E -0.589%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 09:59
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 43.45%EV -1.21%E -0.589%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.69%E -0.826%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 10:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -1.69%E -0.826%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -17.70%E -5.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 10:00
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.09%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -16.48%E -4.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -4.09%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -13.44%E -4.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 10:00
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.01%EV -4.57%E -2.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.37%EV -3.70%E -0.944%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.61%EV -4.92%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 10:00
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -6.97%E -3.59%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.27%EV -1.49%E -0.372%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.63%EV -10.42%E -3.20%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:00
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -2.96%E -0.751%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 49.41%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.96%E -0.751%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 09:58
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.33%E -2.83%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.01%EV -9.37%E -4.96%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 10:00
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +3.18%E +0.756%K +0.993%G +0.032%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 10:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 09:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 09:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 10:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.28%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -5.42%E -1.41%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.76%E -6.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -14.02%E -4.01%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-18 10:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV +5.63%E +1.31%K +1.71%G +0.096%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.91%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -6.65%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 10:00
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -9.11%E -2.46%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -12.07%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 10:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -12.24%E -6.69%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.56%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -13.68%E -7.60%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV +3.18%E +0.756%K +0.993%G +0.032%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.57%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -13.68%E -7.60%K -17.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -1.74%E -0.434%K -0.579%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.32%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -17.04%E -9.85%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -7.88%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -17.56%E -5.85%K -8.78%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-18 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-04-18 09:59
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-18 10:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-18 10:00