Language:English
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Prediction 31.20%3.21fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.430%
Kelly +0.621%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.54%31.10%31.13%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.2537.04%33.40%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)
Prediction 42.45%2.36fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.34%42.63%42.45%44.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.142.152.3050.76%46.69%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.35%3.80fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.317%
Kelly -0.432%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.98%26.27%26.42%27.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.453.7531.25%28.77%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 31.20%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 42.45%; Draw: 26.35%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -0.164%E -0.051%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -0.164%E -0.051%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV -2.66%E -0.852%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.28%EV -6.99%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.19%E -0.317%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -14.25%E -7.05%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.05%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -15.10%E -7.55%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.36%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -16.37%E -8.31%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.68%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -16.37%E -8.31%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.68%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.03%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.39%EV -2.77%E -0.751%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.68%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.30%EV -9.15%E -4.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.20%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.51%E -0.677%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.89%EV -8.59%E -2.93%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.66%EV -7.03%E -3.21%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.46%EV -3.30%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.64%E -4.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.20%E -5.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -15.76%E -5.84%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.97%E -6.33%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.75% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |