The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

2026-09-06 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prediction 28.40%3.52fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.836%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.67%28.42%28.36%29.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.253.4233.33%30.91%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)

Prediction 46.27%2.16fair odd
EV -5.16%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.77%46.23%46.28%46.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.992.002.0553.19%50.35%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.35%25.37%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.603.8029.41%27.59%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 28.40%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 46.27%; Draw: 25.33%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.42, with an expected value of -2.86%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.90%EV -2.86%E -0.836%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.78%EV -5.62%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.31%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 12:25
GTbets🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 27.67%EV -3.14%E -0.922%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.26%EV -5.62%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.07%EV -8.30%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:25
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.03%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.44%EV -5.62%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.53%EV -6.02%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -5.70%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -8.39%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -7.29%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 12:20
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -5.62%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -5.62%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 12:04
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.39%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:00
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.39%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:00
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.08%E -3.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.47%E -3.73%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -8.39%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 12:20
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.47%E -3.73%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:05
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.47%E -3.73%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 12:05
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.47%E -3.73%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 12:04
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.78%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 12:00
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.78%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -11.17%E -5.82%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -13.02%E -6.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-31 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.37%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -12.10%E -6.37%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 12:00
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -11.63%E -6.09%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%5.0%2026-08-31 12:55