语言:简体中文
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队)
预测 31.20%3.21公平赔率
EV +1.40%
优势 +0.430%
Kelly +0.621%
增长率 +0.009%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
28.54%31.10%31.13%32.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.993.003.2537.04%33.40%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
Shanghai Shenhua FC (客队)
预测 42.45%2.36公平赔率
EV -2.36%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -1.82%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.30
博彩公司预测分布
41.34%42.63%42.45%44.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.142.152.3050.76%46.69%46.51%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.35%3.80公平赔率
EV -1.19%
优势 -0.317%
Kelly -0.432%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
24.98%26.27%26.42%27.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.483.453.7531.25%28.77%28.99%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队)：31.20%；Shanghai Shenhua FC (客队)：42.45%；平局：26.35%。 对于“Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.21。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.25，对应+1.40%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -0.164%E -0.051%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -0.164%E -0.051%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV -2.66%E -0.852%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.28%EV -6.99%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.19%E -0.317%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -14.25%E -7.05%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.05%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -15.10%E -7.55%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.36%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -16.37%E -8.31%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.68%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -16.37%E -8.31%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.68%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.03%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.39%EV -2.77%E -0.751%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.68%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.30%EV -9.15%E -4.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.20%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.51%E -0.677%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.89%EV -8.59%E -2.93%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.66%EV -7.03%E -3.21%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.46%EV -3.30%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.64%E -4.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.20%E -5.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -15.76%E -5.84%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.97%E -6.33%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.75% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |