默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

2026-09-06 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队)

预测 28.40%3.52公平赔率
EV -2.86%
优势 -0.836%
Kelly -1.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.42

博彩公司预测分布
27.67%28.42%28.36%29.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.233.253.4233.33%30.91%30.77%29.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Shanghai Shenhua FC (客队)

预测 46.27%2.16公平赔率
EV -5.16%
优势 -2.52%
Kelly -4.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
45.77%46.23%46.28%46.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.881.992.002.0553.19%50.35%50.00%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.33%3.95公平赔率
EV -3.74%
优势 -0.985%
Kelly -1.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.46%25.35%25.37%26.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.623.603.8029.41%27.59%27.78%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队):28.40%;Shanghai Shenhua FC (客队):46.27%;平局:25.33%。 对于“Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.52。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.42,期望值为-2.86%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.90%EV -2.86%E -0.836%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.78%EV -5.62%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.31%EV -4.50%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 12:25
GTbets🎯3.41I 29.33%NM 27.67%EV -3.14%E -0.922%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.26%EV -5.62%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.07%EV -8.30%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 12:25
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.03%EV -4.00%E -1.18%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.44%EV -5.62%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.53%EV -6.02%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -5.70%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -8.39%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.31%EV -7.29%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 12:20
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.16%E -2.52%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.01%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 12:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -5.62%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 12:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.77%EV -5.62%E -2.75%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 12:04
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.39%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:00
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.27%E -1.90%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.17%EV -8.39%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 12:00
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.32%EV -6.08%E -3.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.47%E -3.73%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -8.39%E -4.24%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 12:20
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.47%E -3.73%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -3.74%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:05
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.47%E -3.73%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 12:05
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.47%E -3.73%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 12:04
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.11%E -2.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -9.78%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 12:00
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.78%E -5.02%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -11.17%E -5.82%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -8.81%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-31 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.95%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -13.02%E -6.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.87%E -4.08%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-31 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.37%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -12.10%E -6.37%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 12:00
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -14.79%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -11.63%E -6.09%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -11.34%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 11:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%5.0%2026-08-31 12:55