Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Início: 2026-09-06 11:00 UTC

Final: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1–3 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Previsão 31.20%3.21odd justa
EV +1.40%
Vantagem +0.430%
Kelly +0.621%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.54%31.10%31.13%32.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.993.003.2537.04%33.40%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)

Previsão 42.45%2.36odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.34%42.63%42.45%44.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.142.152.3050.76%46.69%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.35%3.80odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.317%
Kelly -0.432%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.98%26.27%26.42%27.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.483.453.7531.25%28.77%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 31.20%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante): 42.45%; Empate: 26.35%. Para Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.21. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.40%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:10
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:10
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:10
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:10
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:08
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -0.164%E -0.051%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -0.164%E -0.051%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 10:54
Pinnacle🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV -2.66%E -0.852%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.28%EV -6.99%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 10:45
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.19%E -0.317%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 10:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:55
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -14.25%E -7.05%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.05%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -15.10%E -7.55%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.36%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -16.37%E -8.31%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.68%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-06 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -16.37%E -8.31%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.68%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-06 10:10
GTbets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.03%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.39%EV -2.77%E -0.751%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 30.68%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.30%EV -9.15%E -4.28%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.20%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 09:45
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 10:44
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 10:35
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 10:40
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:44
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:45
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.51%E -0.677%K -0.928%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 10:20
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:20
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:20
1xBet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.89%EV -8.59%E -2.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.66%EV -7.03%E -3.21%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.46%EV -3.30%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 10:04
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 09:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 09:50
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 10:54
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 10:54
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 10:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 10:50
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 09:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 10:04
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 10:54
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 10:04
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.64%E -4.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.20%E -5.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 10:00
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -15.76%E -5.84%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.97%E -6.33%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 09:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-09-06 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-09-06 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-09-06 10:55
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-09-06 10:55
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 29.75%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-09-06 10:40