Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 31.20%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante): 42.45%; Empate: 26.35%. Para Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.21. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.40%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +1.40%E +0.430%K +0.621%G +0.009% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -0.164%E -0.051%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -0.164%E -0.051%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.86%EV -2.66%E -0.852%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.28%EV -6.99%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -1.19%E -0.317%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -14.25%E -7.05%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.05%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -3.28%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -15.10%E -7.55%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.36%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -16.37%E -8.31%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.68%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.56%EV -4.84%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.22%EV -16.37%E -8.31%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -15.68%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-06 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.03%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.39%EV -2.77%E -0.751%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.68%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.30%EV -9.15%E -4.28%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.03%EV -6.20%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.46%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.51%E -0.677%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.40%E -2.13%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.89%EV -8.59%E -2.93%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.66%EV -7.03%E -3.21%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.46%EV -3.30%E -0.898%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.52%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.15%E -3.52%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-06 09:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.09%E -2.64%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 10:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -6.61%E -3.00%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.08%E -3.89%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.64%E -4.52%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -14.20%E -5.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 10:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -15.76%E -5.84%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.97%E -6.33%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 09:50 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.75% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 10:40 |