Language:English
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Prediction 40.93%2.44fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.71%41.26%40.91%44.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.202.252.3549.02%45.52%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 31.48%3.18fair odd
EV +2.30%
Edge +0.709%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.14%31.30%31.48%32.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.022.983.2536.36%33.15%33.56%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.581%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%27.44%27.61%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.323.303.5534.72%30.11%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 40.93%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 31.48%; Draw: 27.59%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -16.50%E -8.09%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV +0.731%E +0.228%K +0.332%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -16.50%E -8.09%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV +0.731%E +0.228%K +0.332%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.42%E -0.780%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 05:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.42%E -0.780%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 05:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.05%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 05:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.05%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.98%EV -4.63%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.10%EV -3.36%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 06:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 06:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 05:52 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -7.49%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.19%E -2.08%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -8.41%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -2.06%E -0.581%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 05:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 06:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 05:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 05:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 05:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 05:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 05:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 05:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 05:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 06:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -2.06%E -0.581%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -16.09%E -7.85%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.08%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.11%EV -15.86%E -5.20%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-14 05:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 05:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 05:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 05:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -16.09%E -7.85%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.55%E -7.13%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-14 05:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 41.26%EV -14.45%E -6.91%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.36%EV -13.43%E -4.89%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -13.10%E -4.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-14 06:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 06:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 06:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 06:20 |