La scuola delle quote

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Inizio: 2026-03-14 11:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Casa)

Previsione 40.93%2.44quota equa
EV -3.81%
Vantaggio -1.62%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.71%41.26%40.91%44.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.042.202.252.3549.02%45.52%44.44%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liaoning Tieren FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.48%3.18quota equa
EV +2.30%
Vantaggio +0.709%
Kelly +1.02%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.14%31.30%31.48%32.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.022.983.2536.36%33.15%33.56%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.59%3.62quota equa
EV -2.06%
Vantaggio -0.581%
Kelly -0.808%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.55%27.44%27.61%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.323.303.5534.72%30.11%30.30%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:54
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:54
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:55
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:55
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:55
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:55
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:54
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:55
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -16.50%E -8.09%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV +0.731%E +0.228%K +0.332%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 05:54
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -16.50%E -8.09%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV +0.731%E +0.228%K +0.332%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 05:54
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.42%E -0.780%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 05:19
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.42%E -0.780%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:35
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.05%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 05:44
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.05%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 05:45
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.98%EV -4.63%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.10%EV -3.36%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 06:04
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 06:05
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 05:54
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 05:52
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:34
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -7.49%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.19%E -2.08%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -8.41%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 05:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -2.06%E -0.581%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 05:14
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 05:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 06:05
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:44
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:44
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 05:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 05:10
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 05:15
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 05:14
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 05:29
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 06:04
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -2.06%E -0.581%K -0.808%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 05:45
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -16.09%E -7.85%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.08%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.11%EV -15.86%E -5.20%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-14 05:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 05:05
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 05:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 05:29
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -16.09%E -7.85%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.55%E -7.13%K -10.93%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-14 05:35
Unibet (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 41.26%EV -14.45%E -6.91%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.36%EV -13.43%E -4.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -13.10%E -4.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-14 06:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-03-14 06:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-14 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-03-14 06:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-03-14 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-03-14 06:20