L’École des cotesFrançais
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Prévision 40.93%2.44cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -2.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.71%41.26%40.91%44.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.042.202.252.3549.02%45.52%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.48%3.18cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.709%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.024%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.14%31.30%31.48%32.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.022.983.2536.36%33.15%33.56%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.59%3.62cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.581%
Kelly -0.808%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.55%27.44%27.61%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.323.303.5534.72%30.11%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -16.50%E -8.09%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV +0.731%E +0.228%K +0.332%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -16.50%E -8.09%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV +0.731%E +0.228%K +0.332%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.42%E -0.780%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 05:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.42%E -0.780%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 05:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.05%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 05:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.05%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.98%EV -4.63%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.10%EV -3.36%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 06:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 06:05 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 05:54 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 05:52 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 05:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -7.49%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.19%E -2.08%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -8.41%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 05:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -2.06%E -0.581%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 05:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 06:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 05:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 05:44 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 05:15 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 05:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 05:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 05:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 05:29 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 06:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -2.06%E -0.581%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -16.09%E -7.85%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.08%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.11%EV -15.86%E -5.20%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-14 05:35 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 05:05 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 05:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 05:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -16.09%E -7.85%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.55%E -7.13%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-14 05:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 41.26%EV -14.45%E -6.91%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.36%EV -13.43%E -4.89%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -13.10%E -4.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-14 06:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 06:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 06:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 06:20 |