مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

البداية: 2026-03-14 11:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.93%2.44السعر العادل
EV -3.81%
الأفضلية -1.62%
Kelly -2.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.71%41.26%40.91%44.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.042.202.252.3549.02%45.52%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Liaoning Tieren FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.48%3.18السعر العادل
EV +2.30%
الأفضلية +0.709%
Kelly +1.02%
النمو +0.024%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.14%31.30%31.48%32.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.022.983.2536.36%33.15%33.56%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.59%3.62السعر العادل
EV -2.06%
الأفضلية -0.581%
Kelly -0.808%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.55%27.44%27.61%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.323.303.5534.72%30.11%30.30%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:54
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:54
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:55
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:55
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:55
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:55
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:54
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -14.86%E -7.14%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV +2.30%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:55
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -16.50%E -8.09%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV +0.731%E +0.228%K +0.332%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 05:54
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -16.50%E -8.09%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV +0.731%E +0.228%K +0.332%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 05:54
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.42%E -0.780%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 05:19
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.42%E -0.780%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:35
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.05%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 05:44
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.18%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.05%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 05:45
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.98%EV -4.63%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.10%EV -3.36%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%EV -5.65%E -1.65%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 06:04
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 06:05
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.64%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 05:54
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 05:52
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.95%E -4.52%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 05:34
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -7.49%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -6.19%E -2.08%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -8.41%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 05:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -2.06%E -0.581%K -0.808%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 05:14
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 05:45
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 06:05
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.67%E -2.93%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:44
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.58%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:44
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 05:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 05:10
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 05:15
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 05:14
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 05:29
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 06:04
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -2.06%E -0.581%K -0.808%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 05:45
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -16.09%E -7.85%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.08%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.11%EV -15.86%E -5.20%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-14 05:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.85%E -2.55%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.96%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 05:05
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 05:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.90%E -3.51%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 05:29
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -16.09%E -7.85%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 05:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -14.04%E -6.69%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.55%E -7.13%K -10.93%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-14 05:35
Unibet (FR)2.09I 47.85%NM 41.26%EV -14.45%E -6.91%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.36%EV -13.43%E -4.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -13.10%E -4.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-14 06:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-03-14 06:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-14 06:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-03-14 06:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-03-14 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-03-14 06:20