Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 6.20
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 64.23%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 16.14%; Draw: 19.63%. For Yunnan Yukun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.196. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.073%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 11:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.75%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.53%EV -0.412%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.72%EV -4.58%E -0.943%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -1.83%E -0.367%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.49%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 11:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.83%E -0.367%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.58%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.66%EV -3.48%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.79%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -4.77%E -0.808%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.38%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.22%EV -6.71%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 19.99%EV -7.92%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.69%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.56%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -14.59%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.31%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -8.70%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.06%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 11:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-21 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -26.37%E -7.03%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -12.84%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.95%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.84%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-21 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -16.07%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.99%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-21 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.46%EV -9.44%E -6.70%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.91%E -4.27%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.57%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.53% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 11:30 |