Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Yunnan Yukun

Início: 2026-04-21 11:35 UTC

Final: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 2–1 Yunnan Yukun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Previsão 64.23%1.56odd justa
EV -4.95%
Vantagem -3.34%
Kelly -10.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.43%64.13%64.35%66.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.431.441.4871.43%69.77%69.69%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Previsão 16.14%6.20odd justa
EV +0.073%
Vantagem +0.012%
Kelly +0.014%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.16%16.28%16.10%17.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.905.635.606.2020.41%17.75%17.86%16.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.63%5.09odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -0.367%
Kelly -0.458%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.50%19.59%19.55%22.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.664.755.0026.67%21.45%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 64.23%; Yunnan Yukun (Visitante): 16.14%; Empate: 19.63%. Para Yunnan Yukun (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.196. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.200, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.073%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:09
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.75%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.53%EV -0.412%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.72%EV -4.58%E -0.943%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -1.83%E -0.367%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 11:20
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.49%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 11:09
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.83%E -0.367%K -0.458%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 11:20
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.58%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.66%EV -3.48%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.79%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -4.77%E -0.808%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.38%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 11:00
GTbets🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.22%EV -6.71%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 19.99%EV -7.92%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.69%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 11:20
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.56%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -14.59%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 11:30
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:25
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.31%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -8.70%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.06%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 10:20
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 11:20
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 11:29
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:30
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 11:09
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -26.37%E -7.03%K -9.59%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-21 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -12.84%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.95%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.84%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 11:25
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:20
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -16.07%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.99%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-21 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.46%EV -9.44%E -6.70%K -23.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.91%E -4.27%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.57%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-21 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.53%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%3.0%2026-04-21 11:30