La escuela de los momios

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Yunnan Yukun

Inicio: 2026-04-21 11:35 UTC

Final: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 2–1 Yunnan Yukun

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Predicción 64.23%1.56momio equitativo
EV -4.95%
Ventaja -3.34%
Kelly -10.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%64.13%64.35%66.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.431.441.4871.43%69.77%69.69%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Predicción 16.14%6.20momio equitativo
EV +0.073%
Ventaja +0.012%
Kelly +0.014%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.16%16.28%16.10%17.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.635.606.2020.41%17.75%17.86%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.63%5.09momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.367%
Kelly -0.458%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.50%19.59%19.55%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.664.755.0026.67%21.45%21.05%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:09
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:09
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:20
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.75%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.53%EV -0.412%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.72%EV -4.58%E -0.943%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 11:20
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 11:20
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -1.83%E -0.367%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 11:20
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.49%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 11:09
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.83%E -0.367%K -0.458%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 11:20
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.58%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.66%EV -3.48%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 11:30
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.79%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -4.77%E -0.808%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:09
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.38%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 11:00
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.22%EV -6.71%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 19.99%EV -7.92%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 11:25
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.69%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 11:20
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 11:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.56%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -14.59%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 11:30
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:25
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.31%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -8.70%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.06%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 10:20
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 11:20
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 11:29
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:25
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 11:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 10:55
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 10:25
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -26.37%E -7.03%K -9.59%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-21 11:25
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -12.84%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.95%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.84%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 11:25
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -16.07%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.99%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-21 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.46%EV -9.44%E -6.70%K -23.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.91%E -4.27%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.57%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-21 11:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.53%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%3.0%2026-04-21 11:30