L’École des cotes

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Yunnan Yukun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 11:35 UTC

Score final : Chengdu Rongcheng FC 2–1 Yunnan Yukun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 64.23%1.56cote équitable
EV -4.95%
Avantage -3.34%
Kelly -10.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.43%64.13%64.35%66.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.431.441.4871.43%69.77%69.69%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.14%6.20cote équitable
EV +0.073%
Avantage +0.012%
Kelly +0.014%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.16%16.28%16.10%17.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.635.606.2020.41%17.75%17.86%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.63%5.09cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.367%
Kelly -0.458%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.50%19.59%19.55%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.664.755.0026.67%21.45%21.05%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:09
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:09
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +0.073%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 11:20
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.75%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.53%EV -0.412%E -0.067%K -0.080%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.72%EV -4.58%E -0.943%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 11:20
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 11:20
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -1.83%E -0.367%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 11:20
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.49%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 11:09
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.83%E -0.367%K -0.458%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -3.16%E -0.526%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 11:20
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.58%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.66%EV -3.48%E -0.582%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV -6.94%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 11:30
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.79%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -4.77%E -0.808%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:09
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.38%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 11:00
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -5.59%E -3.80%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.22%EV -6.71%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 19.99%EV -7.92%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -4.95%E -3.34%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 11:25
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.69%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 11:20
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 11:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.56%EV -8.80%E -6.20%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -7.19%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -14.59%E -3.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 11:30
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:25
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -9.61%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 10:20
NordicBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.31%EV -6.23%E -4.27%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.88%EV -8.70%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.06%EV -8.16%E -5.70%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.66%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 10:20
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 11:20
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 11:29
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 11:25
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 11:09
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 10:55
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 10:25
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.42%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.72%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-21 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -11.23%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -26.37%E -7.03%K -9.59%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-21 11:25
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -12.84%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.95%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.84%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 11:25
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -6.87%E -4.74%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.74%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -15.26%E -2.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.61%E -3.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-21 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -7.51%E -5.22%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -16.07%E -3.09%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -5.76%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 11:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -10.08%E -7.20%K -25.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -19.30%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -14.99%E -3.46%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-21 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.46%EV -9.44%E -6.70%K -23.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.91%E -4.27%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.57%EV -11.65%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-21 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.36%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-04-21 11:25
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.53%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%3.0%2026-04-21 11:30