Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.43
assuming max odds 7.50
assuming max odds 5.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 67.51%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 13.70%; Draw: 18.79%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.30. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 11:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 11:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -12.23%E -9.41%K -40.78%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -1.37%E -0.260%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.00%EV -3.46%E -2.42%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.04%EV +0.695%E +0.095%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.26%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV -5.12%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.26%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV -5.12%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 11:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.26%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV -5.12%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 11:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.97%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.03%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.37%E -0.260%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.04%EV -2.73%E -0.384%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.15%EV -4.81%E -3.41%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.86%E -6.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -1.37%E -0.260%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 11:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.86%E -6.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.98%EV -13.58%E -10.61%K -48.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -2.31%E -0.444%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-01 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.98%EV -13.58%E -10.61%K -48.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -2.31%E -0.444%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 11:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 11:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 11:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -8.86%E -6.56%K -25.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 11:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -17.34%E -3.94%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.21%E -7.68%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-01 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.21%E -7.68%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.46%E -3.43%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -13.69%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.00%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -13.69%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.00%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 11:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.24%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.51%EV -13.69%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 11:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 6.27I 15.95%NM 14.94%EV -14.10%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -4.81%E -3.41%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -14.37%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 11:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -14.37%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -17.34%E -3.94%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.15%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.01%EV -14.79%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.85%EV -1.74%E -0.333%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.06%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -15.06%E -2.43%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 11:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.38%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -15.06%E -2.43%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -17.80%E -2.97%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 11:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -21.22%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -21.22%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -21.91%E -3.84%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 10:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.42%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -24.65%E -4.48%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-01 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.71%EV -10.21%E -7.68%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -24.65%E -4.48%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-08-01 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 1.9% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
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