默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Wuhan Three Towns

开赛时间: 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC

最终结果: Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1–1 Wuhan Three Towns

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (主队)

预测 67.51%1.48公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -2.42%
Kelly -8.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
64.61%67.38%67.65%70.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.361.371.4378.13%73.27%73.26%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

Wuhan Three Towns (客队)

预测 13.70%7.30公平赔率
EV +2.75%
优势 +0.367%
Kelly +0.423%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.20%13.93%13.48%16.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.716.507.5018.18%14.91%15.38%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.79%5.32公平赔率
EV -0.428%
优势 -0.081%
Kelly -0.099%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.30

博彩公司预测分布
17.23%18.68%18.87%20.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.954.955.3022.73%20.18%20.20%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chengdu Rongcheng FC (主队):67.51%;Wuhan Three Towns (客队):13.70%;平局:18.79%。 对于“Wuhan Three Towns (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.30。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为7.50,对应+2.75%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:49
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:49
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:50
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -12.23%E -9.41%K -40.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -1.37%E -0.260%K -0.322%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.00%EV -3.46%E -2.42%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.04%EV +0.695%E +0.095%K +0.110%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.26%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV -5.12%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.26%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV -5.12%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 11:54
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.26%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV -5.12%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 11:54
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.97%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.03%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.37%E -0.260%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 11:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.04%EV -2.73%E -0.384%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.15%EV -4.81%E -3.41%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 11:55
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.86%E -6.56%K -25.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -1.37%E -0.260%K -0.322%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 11:40
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.86%E -6.56%K -25.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.98%EV -13.58%E -10.61%K -48.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -2.31%E -0.444%K -0.549%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.98%EV -13.58%E -10.61%K -48.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -2.31%E -0.444%K -0.549%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 11:40
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:39
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:54
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -8.86%E -6.56%K -25.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 11:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 11:54
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -17.34%E -3.94%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.21%E -7.68%K -30.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.21%E -7.68%K -30.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.46%E -3.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 11:14
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -13.69%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.00%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:44
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -13.69%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.00%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.24%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.51%EV -13.69%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 11:54
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.94%EV -14.10%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 11:50
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -4.81%E -3.41%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -14.37%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 11:53
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -14.37%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -17.34%E -3.94%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 11:55
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.15%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.01%EV -14.79%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.85%EV -1.74%E -0.333%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.06%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -15.06%E -2.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.38%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -15.06%E -2.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 11:44
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -17.80%E -2.97%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 11:53
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -21.22%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -21.22%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -21.91%E -3.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 10:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.42%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -24.65%E -4.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.71%EV -10.21%E -7.68%K -30.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -24.65%E -4.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 11:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-01 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-01 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-08-01 11:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-08-01 11:55
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-08-01 11:15