L’École des cotes

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Wuhan Three Towns

2026-08-01 12:00 UTC — Super League - China

Résultat du match

25 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 70.09%1.43cote équitable
EV -5.38%
Avantage -3.98%
Kelly -15.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.72%70.19%70.03%73.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.331.3580.00%76.10%75.19%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.89%8.41cote équitable
EV +4.05%
Avantage +0.462%
Kelly +0.522%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 8.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.73%12.03%11.56%14.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.707.648.008.7517.54%13.10%12.50%11.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.02%5.55cote équitable
EV +6.30%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.081%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.91%17.78%18.42%19.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.175.085.9021.74%19.35%19.69%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -9.58%E -7.43%K -33.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +1.07%E +0.126%K +0.143%G +0.002%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV +6.30%E +1.07%K +1.29%G +0.081%6.2%2026-07-26 12:06
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.28%E -8.03%K -36.72%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.73%EV +4.05%E +0.462%K +0.522%G +0.021%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV +6.30%E +1.07%K +1.29%G +0.081%6.5%2026-07-26 12:05
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.27%EV -8.88%E -6.83%K -29.60%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -1.90%E -0.230%K -0.262%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV +3.60%E +0.626%K +0.758%G +0.027%6.4%2026-07-26 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -9.58%E -7.43%K -33.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV +1.07%E +0.126%K +0.143%G +0.002%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.904%E -0.164%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 12:15
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.88%E -6.83%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -10.82%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -0.904%E -0.164%K -0.201%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 12:50
Bet Right1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -9.58%E -7.43%K -33.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -10.82%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -0.904%E -0.164%K -0.201%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 12:15
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -4.87%E -0.609%K -0.696%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -0.904%E -0.164%K -0.201%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 12:10
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -9.58%E -7.43%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -22.71%E -3.49%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -0.904%E -0.164%K -0.201%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 12:15
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.38%E -3.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 11.29%EV +0.480%E +0.057%K +0.064%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.06%EV -4.87%E -0.922%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 12:50
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.02%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.03%EV -15.57%E -2.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -7.21%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 12:50
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.02%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.03%EV -15.57%E -2.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -7.21%E -1.40%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 12:50
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -16.76%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -8.11%E -1.59%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 12:50
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.98%K -15.36%G +0.000%8.13I 12.30%NM 11.60%EV -3.33%E -0.409%K -0.466%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.56%EV -8.47%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 12:05
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 70.32%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.87%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.02%EV +1.67%E +0.195%K +0.221%G +0.004%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.66%EV -9.01%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 12:55
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.21%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.37%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.44%EV -3.68%E -0.455%K -0.519%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.35%EV -9.01%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 12:44
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -16.76%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.91%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 12:50
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.95%EV -8.18%E -6.24%K -26.39%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -25.68%E -4.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -9.91%E -1.98%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 13:49
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 69.35%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV -7.25%E -0.929%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -11.71%E -2.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 13:45
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 69.35%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.54%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.83%EV -7.25%E -0.929%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -11.71%E -2.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 13:45
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.87%E -0.609%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -13.52%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 13:15
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.87%E -0.609%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -13.52%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 13:15
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.87%E -0.609%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -13.52%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 13:15
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.87%E -0.609%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -13.52%E -2.82%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 13:15
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.75%EV -9.58%E -7.43%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.66%EV -23.90%E -3.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -15.32%E -3.26%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 66.72%EV -10.98%E -8.65%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 14.86%EV -32.22%E -5.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.42%EV -17.12%E -3.72%K -4.76%G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-26 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.