Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC

Score final : Chengdu Rongcheng FC 1–1 Wuhan Three Towns

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 67.51%1.48cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -2.42%
Kelly -8.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.61%67.38%67.65%70.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.361.371.4378.13%73.27%73.26%69.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.70%7.30cote équitable
EV +2.75%
Avantage +0.367%
Kelly +0.423%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.20%13.93%13.48%16.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.716.507.5018.18%14.91%15.38%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.79%5.32cote équitable
EV -0.428%
Avantage -0.081%
Kelly -0.099%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.23%18.68%18.87%20.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.954.955.3022.73%20.18%20.20%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local) : 67.51% ; Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur) : 13.70% ; Match nul : 18.79%. Pour Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.30. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.50, soit une espérance positive de +2.75%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:49
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:49
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:50
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -10.88%E -8.24%K -34.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -0.428%E -0.081%K -0.099%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -12.23%E -9.41%K -40.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV +2.75%E +0.367%K +0.423%G +0.012%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -1.37%E -0.260%K -0.322%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.00%EV -3.46%E -2.42%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.04%EV +0.695%E +0.095%K +0.110%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.96%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.26%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV -5.12%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.26%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV -5.12%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 11:54
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.70%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.26%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.04%EV -5.12%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 11:54
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.97%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.03%EV -0.675%E -0.093%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.37%E -0.260%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 11:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.07%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.04%EV -2.73%E -0.384%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.89%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:55
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.15%EV -4.81%E -3.41%K -11.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 11:55
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.86%E -6.56%K -25.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -1.37%E -0.260%K -0.322%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 11:40
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -8.86%E -6.56%K -25.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.98%EV -13.58%E -10.61%K -48.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -2.31%E -0.444%K -0.549%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.98%EV -13.58%E -10.61%K -48.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.10%E -0.586%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -2.31%E -0.444%K -0.549%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 11:40
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:39
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:54
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -8.86%E -6.56%K -25.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 11:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 11:54
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -8.18%E -6.02%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -17.34%E -3.94%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.21%E -7.68%K -30.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 11:45
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.21%E -7.68%K -30.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.95%E -1.68%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.46%E -3.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 11:14
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -13.69%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.00%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:44
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.60%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.69%EV -13.69%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.70%EV -7.00%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.24%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.51%EV -13.69%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 11:54
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.13%E -2.91%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.94%EV -14.10%E -2.25%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 11:50
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -4.81%E -3.41%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -14.37%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 11:53
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -14.37%E -2.30%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -17.34%E -3.94%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 11:55
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.15%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.01%EV -14.79%E -2.38%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.85%EV -1.74%E -0.333%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.06%EV -6.16%E -4.43%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -15.06%E -2.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 11:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.38%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -15.06%E -2.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.82%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 11:44
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -17.80%E -2.97%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -6.06%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 11:53
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -21.22%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.48%E -3.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -21.22%E -3.69%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -6.83%E -4.95%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -21.91%E -3.84%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -4.19%E -0.821%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 10:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.42%EV -7.51%E -5.48%K -20.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -24.65%E -4.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -7.94%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.71%EV -10.21%E -7.68%K -30.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -24.65%E -4.48%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -10.76%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-01 11:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-01 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-01 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-08-01 11:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-08-01 11:55
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-08-01 11:15