语言:简体中文
Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (主队)
预测 50.77%1.97公平赔率
EV -5.06%
优势 -2.71%
Kelly -5.82%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.87
博彩公司预测分布
49.77%50.95%50.72%53.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.811.821.8758.82%55.16%54.95%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
Shanghai Shenhua FC (客队)
预测 26.18%3.82公平赔率
EV -0.796%
优势 -0.210%
Kelly -0.285%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.79
博彩公司预测分布
24.80%26.10%26.22%27.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.543.553.7931.25%28.27%28.17%26.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.06%4.34公平赔率
EV -0.162%
优势 -0.037%
Kelly -0.049%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.33
博彩公司预测分布
21.67%22.94%23.06%24.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.753.994.004.3326.67%25.09%25.00%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chengdu Rongcheng FC (主队)：50.77%；Shanghai Shenhua FC (客队)：26.18%；平局：23.06%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.34。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.33，期望值为-0.162%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.34%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -2.37%E -0.634%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.91%EV -3.39%E -0.809%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.16%E -0.752%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 10:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -0.162%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -6.59%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 10:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 10:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 10:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 10:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.92%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -8.11%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.87%EV -0.796%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.05%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 04:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -8.11%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -1.84%E -0.491%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.20%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 10:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.70%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -8.92%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -10.14%E -5.73%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -10.65%E -6.05%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -12.17%E -7.04%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -12.17%E -7.04%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.16%E -0.752%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.54%EV -13.70%E -8.06%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -16.24%E -5.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-22 10:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |