Idioma:Español
Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)
Predicción 50.77%1.97momio equitativo
EV -5.06%
Ventaja -2.71%
Kelly -5.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.77%50.95%50.72%53.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.821.8758.82%55.16%54.95%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)
Predicción 26.18%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.796%
Ventaja -0.210%
Kelly -0.285%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.80%26.10%26.22%27.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.543.553.7931.25%28.27%28.17%26.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.06%4.34momio equitativo
EV -0.162%
Ventaja -0.037%
Kelly -0.049%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.67%22.94%23.06%24.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.753.994.004.3326.67%25.09%25.00%23.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local): 50.77%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante): 26.18%; Empate: 23.06%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.34. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.33, con un valor esperado de -0.162%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.34%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -2.37%E -0.634%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.91%EV -3.39%E -0.809%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.16%E -0.752%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 10:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -0.162%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -6.59%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 10:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 10:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 10:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 10:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 10:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.92%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -8.11%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.87%EV -0.796%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.05%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 04:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -8.11%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -1.84%E -0.491%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.20%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 10:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 10:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.70%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -8.92%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -10.14%E -5.73%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -10.65%E -6.05%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -12.17%E -7.04%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -12.17%E -7.04%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.16%E -0.752%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.54%EV -13.70%E -8.06%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -16.24%E -5.07%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-22 10:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57% | 1.9% | 2026-08-22 11:05 |