Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 11:35 UTC

Score final : Chengdu Rongcheng FC 4–5 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local)

Prévision 50.77%1.97cote équitable
EV -5.06%
Avantage -2.71%
Kelly -5.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.77%50.95%50.72%53.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.811.821.8758.82%55.16%54.95%53.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.18%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.796%
Avantage -0.210%
Kelly -0.285%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.80%26.10%26.22%27.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.543.553.7931.25%28.27%28.17%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.06%4.34cote équitable
EV -0.162%
Avantage -0.037%
Kelly -0.049%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.67%22.94%23.06%24.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.753.994.004.3326.67%25.09%25.00%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Local) : 50.77% ; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visiteur) : 26.18% ; Match nul : 23.06%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.34. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.33, pour une espérance de -0.162% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.34%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.74%EV -2.37%E -0.634%K -0.867%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.91%EV -3.39%E -0.809%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-22 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -5.06%E -2.71%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 11:15
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.16%E -0.752%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 10:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:30
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:29
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:29
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.07%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:30
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -0.162%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:15
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:14
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.08%E -3.29%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -6.59%E -3.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 10:49
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -4.46%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:29
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 11:00
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:39
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 10:39
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:00
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.47%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.49%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.92%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 10:50
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 10:50
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -7.60%E -4.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 11:15
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.08%EV -8.11%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.87%EV -0.796%E -0.210%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.05%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 04:49
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.68%EV -8.11%E -4.48%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -1.84%E -0.491%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.20%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 10:25
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 10:43
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 10:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.77%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 10:50
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.62%E -4.79%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.54%E -3.61%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.70%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -9.63%E -5.41%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -8.92%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.03%EV -10.14%E -5.73%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.83%EV -10.65%E -6.05%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -11.23%E -2.92%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-17 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.08%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.16%E -6.38%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -12.17%E -7.04%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-17 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -12.17%E -7.04%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-17 21:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -12.68%E -7.37%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.16%E -0.752%K -0.987%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 10:30
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.54%EV -13.70%E -8.06%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -16.24%E -5.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.38%E -3.26%K -4.42%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-22 10:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-08-22 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 11:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-22 11:30
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.9%2026-08-22 11:05